MBC 99-94 BAM, November 16, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. MBC beat BAM 99-94, but BAM's shots were worth 100.7 points to MBC's 85.8.

MBC 99-94 BAM, November 16, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MBC	65	83	69.2	16/21	16.6	99	85.8
BAM	74	74	82.1	20/25	18.6	94	100.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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