MBC 76-70 LUD, December 18, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. MBC beat LUD 76-70, but LUD's shots were worth 89.6 points to MBC's 79.8.

MBC 76-70 LUD, December 18, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MBC	51	50	57.3	26/29	22.6	76	79.8
LUD	68	59	79.1	11/16	10.6	70	89.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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