MBC 92-77 OLD, November 3, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. MBC beat OLD 92-77, but OLD's shots were worth 88.1 points to MBC's 84.9.

MBC 92-77 OLD, November 3, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MBC	62	70	64.9	22/26	20.0	92	84.9
OLD	66	65	74.5	12/18	13.7	77	88.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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