BAM 87-82 BER, November 3, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. BAM beat BER 87-82, but BER's shots were worth 92.2 points to BAM's 80.7.

BAM 87-82 BER, November 3, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BAM	66	77	70.0	10/14	10.7	87	80.7
BER	70	70	75.0	12/24	17.3	82	92.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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