BER 65-61 BRA, October 27, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BER beat BRA 65-61, and BER's shots were worth 75.5 points to BRA's 65.0.

BER 65-61 BRA, October 27, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BER	61	52	61.8	13/20	13.8	65	75.5
BRA	54	51	51.1	10/20	13.9	61	65.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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