FCB 70-69 WUE, October 27, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. FCB beat WUE 70-69, but WUE's shots were worth 78.4 points to FCB's 76.9.

FCB 70-69 WUE, October 27, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
FCB615762.313/1914.67076.9
WUE706170.08/128.46978.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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