BER 78-81 CHE, October 20, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. CHE beat BER 81-78, but BER's shots were worth 70.0 points to CHE's 66.6.

BER 78-81 CHE, October 20, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BER	59	65	58.1	13/17	11.9	78	70.0
CHE	61	70	56.0	11/14	10.5	81	66.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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