BAM 75-89 HRO, October 20, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HRO beat BAM 89-75, and HRO's shots were worth 82.0 points to BAM's 77.4.

BAM 75-89 HRO, October 20, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BAM	63	64	68.0	11/13	9.5	75	77.4
HRO	59	75	68.7	14/18	13.3	89	82.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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