BON 91-87 BER, October 6, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. BON beat BER 91-87, but BER's shots were worth 88.3 points to BON's 73.1.

BON 91-87 BER, October 6, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BON	56	75	57.6	16/20	15.5	91	73.1
BER	68	75	74.1	12/20	14.2	87	88.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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