MBC 93-108 HDB, October 3, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. HDB beat MBC 108-93, but MBC's shots were worth 91.2 points to HDB's 90.9.

MBC 93-108 HDB, October 3, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MBC606968.524/2922.69391.2
HDB608771.821/2619.210890.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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