BRA 91-71 LUD, September 30, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. BRA beat LUD 91-71, but LUD's shots were worth 86.8 points to BRA's 75.1.

BRA 91-71 LUD, September 30, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BRA	57	77	60.5	14/20	14.6	91	75.1
LUD	68	55	72.4	16/21	14.4	71	86.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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