CHE 86-90 ULM, September 22, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. ULM beat CHE 90-86, but CHE's shots were worth 90.1 points to ULM's 86.5.

CHE 86-90 ULM, September 22, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHE	59	64	69.0	22/29	21.1	86	90.1
ULM	60	72	69.7	18/23	16.8	90	86.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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