VEC 83-75 BON, September 25, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. VEC beat BON 83-75, but BON's shots were worth 87.6 points to VEC's 77.9.

VEC 83-75 BON, September 25, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
VEC	68	73	64.5	10/19	13.4	83	77.9
BON	77	61	76.1	14/15	11.5	75	87.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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