BAR 99-81 CAZ, October 24, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. BAR beat CAZ 99-81, but CAZ's shots were worth 86.0 points to BAR's 78.6.

BAR 99-81 CAZ, October 24, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BAR658766.712/1611.99978.6
CAZ595763.224/3122.98186.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Liga ACB games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.