BAR 89-86 VBC, October 11, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. BAR beat VBC 89-86, but VBC's shots were worth 95.9 points to BAR's 92.0.

BAR 89-86 VBC, October 11, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BAR	68	70	73.8	19/24	18.2	89	92.0
VBC	77	73	81.4	13/19	14.5	86	95.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Liga ACB games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.