UCM 77-90 LLT, October 11, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. LLT beat UCM 90-77, but UCM's shots were worth 102.0 points to LLT's 89.3.

UCM 77-90 LLT, October 11, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
UCM	69	59	82.7	18/26	19.3	77	102.0
LLT	55	62	64.6	28/32	24.7	90	89.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Liga ACB games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.