CAZ 82-97 VBC, October 4, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. VBC beat CAZ 97-82, but CAZ's shots were worth 94.3 points to VBC's 84.7.

CAZ 82-97 VBC, October 4, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CAZ665872.024/3022.38294.3
VBC688371.114/1813.69784.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Liga ACB games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.