ILE 81-94 BUR, October 4, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BUR beat ILE 94-81, and BUR's shots were worth 94.6 points to ILE's 93.6.

ILE 81-94 BUR, October 4, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ILE676678.315/2115.38193.6
BUR727979.515/2015.19494.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Liga ACB games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.