MBA 83-85 BUR, May 17, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BUR beat MBA 85-83, and BUR's shots were worth 87.6 points to MBA's 77.0.

MBA 83-85 BUR, May 17, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MBA	66	69	65.9	14/14	11.0	83	77.0
BUR	71	64	69.4	21/25	18.1	85	87.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Liga ACB games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.