BAR 91-76 BUR, May 9, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BAR beat BUR 91-76, and BAR's shots were worth 89.6 points to BUR's 88.2.

BAR 91-76 BUR, May 9, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BAR	65	75	71.4	16/24	18.2	91	89.6
BUR	73	68	77.0	8/15	11.2	76	88.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.