GIR 90-81 CAZ, May 2, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. GIR beat CAZ 90-81, but CAZ's shots were worth 82.6 points to GIR's 66.0.

GIR 90-81 CAZ, May 2, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
GIR638461.36/64.79066.0
CAZ687070.411/1612.28182.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Liga ACB games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.