BUR 94-99 BRE, April 19, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. BRE beat BUR 99-94, but BUR's shots were worth 111.1 points to BRE's 87.6.

BUR 94-99 BRE, April 19, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BUR817890.816/2720.394111.1
BRE688271.017/2016.79987.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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