DGC 74-78 CAZ, April 18, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. CAZ beat DGC 78-74, but DGC's shots were worth 81.6 points to CAZ's 79.1.

DGC 74-78 CAZ, April 18, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
DGC605562.119/2519.67481.6
CAZ656465.614/1713.57879.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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