CAZ 86-92 BAR, April 5, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. BAR beat CAZ 92-86, but CAZ's shots were worth 85.3 points to BAR's 84.0.

CAZ 86-92 BAR, April 5, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CAZ	63	71	71.8	15/17	13.5	86	85.3
BAR	58	75	67.1	17/22	16.9	92	84.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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