COV 84-91 GIR, April 4, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. GIR beat COV 91-84, but COV's shots were worth 99.1 points to GIR's 91.3.

COV 84-91 GIR, April 4, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
COV	71	68	81.6	16/23	17.4	84	99.1
GIR	68	74	75.1	17/22	16.2	91	91.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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