COV 92-89 ILE, March 28, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. COV beat ILE 92-89, but ILE's shots were worth 93.7 points to COV's 90.1.

COV 92-89 ILE, March 28, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
COV	49	57	57.9	35/41	32.2	92	90.1
ILE	69	70	76.3	19/22	17.4	89	93.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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