CAZ 108-98 BUR, March 21, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. CAZ beat BUR 108-98, but BUR's shots were worth 104.3 points to CAZ's 93.3.

CAZ 108-98 BUR, March 21, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CAZ628571.523/2821.810893.3
BUR768789.811/2014.598104.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Liga ACB games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.