RMB 95-78 ILE, March 15, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. RMB beat ILE 95-78, and RMB's shots were worth 99.4 points to ILE's 95.9.

RMB 95-78 ILE, March 15, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
RMB	62	73	77.4	22/27	21.9	95	99.4
ILE	69	63	82.4	15/18	13.4	78	95.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Liga ACB games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.