BUR 107-96 BKN, March 15, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. BUR beat BKN 107-96, but BKN's shots were worth 98.9 points to BUR's 98.5.

BUR 107-96 BKN, March 15, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BUR	74	91	83.0	16/21	15.6	107	98.5
BKN	79	82	84.5	14/18	14.3	96	98.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Liga ACB games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.