MBA 113-111 CAZ, March 7, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. MBA beat CAZ 113-111, but CAZ's shots were worth 103.2 points to MBA's 99.1.

MBA 113-111 CAZ, March 7, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MBA	59	73	59.5	40/50	39.5	113	99.1
CAZ	69	74	69.7	37/43	33.6	111	103.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.