GIR 77-71 BUR, January 31, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. GIR beat BUR 77-71, but BUR's shots were worth 87.4 points to GIR's 71.0.

GIR 77-71 BUR, January 31, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
GIR	65	67	61.0	10/13	10.0	77	71.0
BUR	77	57	76.8	14/14	10.6	71	87.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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