ILE 73-72 BUR, January 24, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. ILE beat BUR 73-72, but BUR's shots were worth 93.6 points to ILE's 82.2.

ILE 73-72 BUR, January 24, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ILE	58	56	64.4	17/22	17.7	73	82.2
BUR	71	63	80.0	9/18	13.5	72	93.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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