BUR 79-80 BAR, January 18, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. BAR beat BUR 80-79, but BUR's shots were worth 92.4 points to BAR's 73.0.

BUR 79-80 BAR, January 18, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BUR	68	66	78.3	13/19	14.1	79	92.4
BAR	59	71	63.4	9/13	9.6	80	73.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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