BUR 95-98 JOV, January 11, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. JOV beat BUR 98-95, but BUR's shots were worth 97.5 points to JOV's 85.4.

BUR 95-98 JOV, January 11, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BUR	69	72	76.6	23/28	20.8	95	97.5
JOV	57	76	63.2	22/29	22.2	98	85.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Liga ACB games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.