K&U 104-99 BRE, January 10, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. K&U beat BRE 104-99, but BRE's shots were worth 106.6 points to K&U's 105.0.

K&U 104-99 BRE, January 10, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
K&U637274.232/4030.9104105.0
BRE687584.424/2822.299106.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.