LLT 87-94 ILE, January 10, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. ILE beat LLT 94-87, but LLT's shots were worth 88.6 points to ILE's 86.3.

LLT 87-94 ILE, January 10, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LLT	70	75	78.7	12/12	9.9	87	88.6
ILE	60	74	66.5	20/25	19.8	94	86.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Liga ACB games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.