BKN 99-92 MBA, January 4, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BKN beat MBA 99-92, and BKN's shots were worth 89.1 points to MBA's 81.5.

BKN 99-92 MBA, January 4, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BKN748977.910/1511.29989.1
MBA646660.426/2721.09281.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.