COV 90-107 BUR, January 3, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BUR beat COV 107-90, and BUR's shots were worth 98.5 points to COV's 92.3.

COV 90-107 BUR, January 3, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
COV	68	75	76.0	15/21	16.3	90	92.3
BUR	64	83	72.9	24/34	25.6	107	98.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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