MBA 79-87 ILE, January 2, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ILE beat MBA 87-79, and ILE's shots were worth 94.7 points to MBA's 89.2.

MBA 79-87 ILE, January 2, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MBA	59	50	60.0	29/37	29.2	79	89.2
ILE	62	62	69.5	25/32	25.3	87	94.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Liga ACB games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.