GIR 103-86 ILE, December 28, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. GIR beat ILE 103-86, and GIR's shots were worth 100.0 points to ILE's 78.4.

GIR 103-86 ILE, December 28, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
GIR697269.931/4030.1103100.0
ILE515748.729/3729.78678.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.