COV 79-86 UCM, December 27, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. UCM beat COV 86-79, and UCM's shots were worth 100.1 points to COV's 85.2.

COV 79-86 UCM, December 27, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
COV	52	50	57.6	29/36	27.6	79	85.2
UCM	73	70	84.0	16/21	16.0	86	100.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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