CAZ 107-89 MBA, December 21, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CAZ beat MBA 107-89, and CAZ's shots were worth 90.6 points to MBA's 87.2.

CAZ 107-89 MBA, December 21, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CAZ608264.125/3526.410790.6
MBA647066.119/2721.18987.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Liga ACB games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.