GIR 89-96 LLT, December 20, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LLT beat GIR 96-89, but GIR's shots were worth 74.9 points to LLT's 69.3.

GIR 89-96 LLT, December 20, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
GIR647561.714/1713.28974.9
LLT578054.716/1914.79669.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Liga ACB games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.