MBA 86-81 COV, December 13, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MBA beat COV 86-81, and MBA's shots were worth 87.1 points to COV's 86.0.

MBA 86-81 COV, December 13, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MBA	64	68	69.0	18/23	18.1	86	87.1
COV	60	58	63.6	23/29	22.4	81	86.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Liga ACB games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.