BRE 96-108 LLT, December 13, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LLT beat BRE 108-96, but BRE's shots were worth 96.7 points to LLT's 81.3.

BRE 96-108 LLT, December 13, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BRE627473.922/2922.89696.7
LLT609066.418/1814.810881.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Liga ACB games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.