BAR 102-71 MBA, December 7, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BAR beat MBA 102-71, and BAR's shots were worth 83.7 points to MBA's 72.2.

BAR 102-71 MBA, December 7, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BAR	58	84	64.8	18/25	18.9	102	83.7
MBA	56	56	58.7	15/17	13.5	71	72.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Liga ACB games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.