COV 83-92 CAZ, December 6, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CAZ beat COV 92-83, and CAZ's shots were worth 96.6 points to COV's 90.2.

COV 83-92 CAZ, December 6, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
COV	62	61	67.8	22/29	22.4	83	90.2
CAZ	59	69	70.3	23/34	26.2	92	96.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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