BRE 105-78 BUR, November 22, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BRE beat BUR 105-78, and BRE's shots were worth 97.8 points to BUR's 91.4.

BRE 105-78 BUR, November 22, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BRE668478.521/2619.310597.8
BUR646073.518/2417.97891.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Liga ACB games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.