BUR 86-93 MBA, November 15, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MBA beat BUR 93-86, and MBA's shots were worth 96.9 points to BUR's 91.1.

BUR 86-93 MBA, November 15, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BUR	69	73	76.3	13/20	14.8	86	91.1
MBA	64	63	68.4	30/36	28.5	93	96.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Liga ACB games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.