COV 85-79 VBC, November 9, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. COV beat VBC 85-79, but VBC's shots were worth 98.8 points to COV's 74.6.

COV 85-79 VBC, November 9, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
COV	53	71	56.2	14/24	18.5	85	74.6
VBC	73	66	81.1	13/24	17.7	79	98.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Liga ACB games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.